Sell or Rent Out Your House When Moving: The Decision Framework

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You’re moving, and now you face the question that keeps homeowners up at night: should you sell your house or rent it out when moving? The answer seems like it should be obvious—run the numbers and pick the bigger one. But the real decision is far messier than any spreadsheet can capture, and the wrong choice could cost you tens of thousands of dollars or years of stress you never signed up for.

The Fantasy of Passive Income vs. The Reality of Landlording

Most people who consider renting out their home imagine a simple equation: tenant pays rent, rent covers mortgage, equity builds while you sleep. This fantasy conveniently ignores the midnight phone calls about broken water heaters, the months of vacancy between tenants, and the gut-wrenching moment when you realize your “investment” has become a second job you can’t quit.

The average landlord spends 4-8 hours per month managing a single property, according to surveys from the National Association of Residential Property Managers. That’s the average—meaning half of landlords spend even more time dealing with maintenance requests, tenant screening, rent collection, and the occasional eviction. If you’re moving to a different city or state, add the complexity of managing from afar or the cost of hiring a property manager (typically 8-12% of monthly rent, per NARPM industry data).

Here’s what the “just rent it out” crowd rarely mentions: being a landlord requires a fundamentally different relationship with your home. That kitchen you lovingly renovated? A tenant might destroy it. The neighbors you carefully cultivated relationships with? They’ll be calling you when your tenant throws loud parties. The equity you’ve built? It’s now illiquid, trapped in a property you can’t easily sell while a lease is active.

The Hidden Costs That Destroy Rental Returns

Before you calculate potential rental income, you need to understand the true cost of becoming a landlord—costs that routinely surprise first-time property investors.

Vacancy rates average 6-7% nationally according to U.S. Census Bureau data, but can exceed 15% in some markets. Every month your property sits empty, you’re paying the full mortgage, property taxes, insurance, and HOA fees with zero income to offset them. Industry estimates suggest turnover costs between tenants typically run $1,000-$5,000 for cleaning, repairs, and marketing.

Maintenance reserves should equal 1-2% of your home’s value annually, a widely-cited benchmark among property management professionals. On a $400,000 home, that’s $4,000-$8,000 per year set aside for repairs—whether you use it or not. The roof doesn’t care that you’re trying to build wealth; it’ll need replacing on its own schedule.

Property management fees consume 8-12% of gross rent if you hire help, plus additional fees for tenant placement (often one month’s rent) and maintenance coordination. Self-management saves money but costs time and sanity.

Tax complexity multiplies when you become a landlord. You’ll need to track depreciation recapture, understand the difference between passive and active income, navigate Section 121 exclusion rules (which you may lose after converting to a rental), and potentially file taxes in multiple states. The IRS requires landlords to report rental income and track depreciation over 27.5 years—complexity most homeowners have never dealt with.

Insurance costs increase substantially for rental properties—often 15-25% more than homeowner’s insurance according to insurance industry comparisons—and you’ll need umbrella coverage to protect against liability lawsuits.

When Selling Actually Makes More Financial Sense

The math often favors selling, even when the rental numbers look attractive on paper. Here’s why:

The Section 121 exclusion is a ticking clock. If you’ve lived in your home for two of the last five years, you can exclude up to $250,000 in capital gains ($500,000 for married couples) from taxes under IRS Section 121. Convert to a rental, and this clock starts running. After three years as a rental, you lose this exclusion entirely. On a home with $200,000 in appreciation, that’s potentially $30,000-$50,000 in federal taxes alone that you could have avoided by selling immediately.

Opportunity cost is real. Your home equity could be earning returns in diversified investments. According to historical data from NYU Stern’s analysis of asset returns, the S&P 500 has returned approximately 10% annually over the long term. Real estate appreciation averages 3-4% nationally based on Federal Housing Finance Agency data. Yes, leverage amplifies real estate returns, but it also amplifies risk—and your “investment” is now concentrated in a single property in a single market.

Emotional attachment clouds judgment. The home where you raised your kids or renovated every room with your own hands isn’t the same as an investment property. Landlords who are emotionally attached to their properties consistently make worse financial decisions: they under-price rent to get “good” tenants, delay evictions because they feel bad, and pour money into unnecessary improvements that tenants don’t value.

When Renting Genuinely Makes Sense

Despite the challenges, renting can be the right choice in specific circumstances:

Your local market is temporarily depressed. If you’re selling into a down market and expect recovery within 2-3 years, renting can help you wait it out. But be honest: can you predict the market? Most people can’t, and “waiting for recovery” often becomes an indefinite holding pattern. This scenario requires honest assessment—check with local real estate professionals and consider whether waiting to buy your next house makes sense on the other end of your move.

You’re moving temporarily. If your job relocation has a defined end date (military deployment, temporary assignment, sabbatical), keeping the house makes obvious sense. The key word is “defined”—vague plans to “maybe move back someday” don’t count.

The rental math is overwhelming. In some markets, rent-to-price ratios exceed 1% monthly (meaning a $300,000 home rents for $3,000+). These markets genuinely favor landlording. But most suburban homes—the ones most people are deciding about—rent for 0.5-0.7% of value, making cash flow marginal at best. You can check current rent estimates using tools like Zillow’s Rent Zestimate or Rentometer.

You have landlord experience. If you’ve successfully managed rental properties before and understand exactly what you’re signing up for, you can make an informed decision. First-time landlords consistently underestimate the work and overestimate the returns.

The Break-Even Analysis You Actually Need

Forget the simplified “rent vs. mortgage” comparison. Here’s the real calculation:

Monthly rental income: Research comparable rentals in your neighborhood (Zillow, Rentometer, local property managers). Be conservative—use the lower end of the range.

Subtract all expenses:

  • Mortgage payment (principal, interest, taxes, insurance)
  • HOA fees
  • Property management (8-12% of rent, or value your time at $50+/hour)
  • Vacancy allowance (8% of annual rent)
  • Maintenance reserve (1% of home value annually)
  • Landlord insurance premium increase
  • Accounting/tax preparation costs

Calculate true monthly cash flow. For most properties, this number is negative or barely positive. The “profit” comes from equity building and appreciation—neither of which pays your bills today.

Compare to selling: What would you net after selling costs (typically 8-10% of sale price including agent fees, closing costs, repairs)? What could that money earn invested elsewhere? What’s the value of simplicity and peace of mind?

The Decision Framework That Actually Works

Ask yourself these questions honestly:

1. Can you handle a $15,000 surprise? Major repairs (HVAC, roof, foundation issues) happen without warning. If an unexpected five-figure expense would derail your finances, you shouldn’t be a landlord.

2. Are you moving more than two hours away? Long-distance landlording is exponentially harder. You’ll either pay for property management or spend weekends driving back for maintenance issues. The break-even math changes dramatically with distance.

3. Is your home in a strong rental market? Check the rent-to-price ratio. Below 0.8% monthly, the numbers rarely work. Above 1%, they often do. Between those figures, it depends on appreciation potential and your personal circumstances.

4. Do you have a realistic exit plan? “I’ll sell it eventually” isn’t a plan. Know exactly when and under what conditions you’ll sell. Will you sell after three years (before losing the capital gains exclusion)? After the mortgage is paid off? Never? Without a clear answer, you’ll drift into indefinite landlording by default.

5. What’s this money actually for? If you need the equity for a down payment on your next home, selling is often non-negotiable. Trying to become a landlord while stretching to buy another property is a recipe for financial stress. Before making this decision, consider whether waiting to buy makes sense on the purchase side.

The Uncomfortable Truth About “Building Wealth”

Rental property can build wealth. But so can selling your house, investing the proceeds, and never thinking about toilets or tenants again. The assumption that landlording is inherently superior to other investments is a cultural myth, not financial fact.

According to the Federal Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Finances, the median landlord’s net worth is higher than the median homeowner’s—but this correlation doesn’t prove causation. People who become landlords tend to have higher incomes, more financial education, and stronger existing wealth. The landlording itself may be incidental to their success.

The wealthy investors you admire who own rental properties also have property managers, accountants, lawyers, and the financial cushion to survive years of negative cash flow. They’re not managing their own properties from three states away while working a demanding full-time job and raising kids.

Making Your Decision

If you’ve read this far and still feel excited about becoming a landlord, that’s meaningful data. Some people genuinely enjoy property ownership, find satisfaction in providing housing, and have the temperament for tenant management.

But if your primary motivation is avoiding the “loss” of selling your home or the vague sense that “real estate always goes up,” pause. These are emotional drivers, not financial ones. The most expensive mistakes in real estate come from confusing the two.

For most people moving to a new city for a new chapter of life, selling offers something the spreadsheet can’t capture: a clean break. No 3 AM calls about broken pipes. No anxiety about what your tenant is doing to your beloved home. No complicated tax returns. No second mortgage to qualify around when you buy your next place.

The equity you’ve built isn’t lost when you sell—it’s transformed into flexibility, opportunity, and the freedom to focus fully on wherever life is taking you next. Understanding the real trade-offs between different housing choices can help you make a clearer decision about what comes next.

Sometimes the best investment decision is the one that lets you sleep at night.